You are here

Simple math is about to cause an inflation problem

Section: Daily Dispatches

By Reade Pickert
Bloomberg News
Monday, April 12, 2021

No economic question is being debated more right now than whether the United States will see a sharp rise in inflation. But the answer for the next few months is simple: Yes.

Due to the way the government's inflation metrics are calculated, what will appear to be significant price increases are all but guaranteed. The phenomenon is known as the base effect, a term worth keeping in mind when new figures make the argument even wilder.

... Dispatch continues below ...


ADVERTISEMENT

Asante Gold C$5 Million Placement Is Oversubscribed
and Another C$2 Million Is Accepted;
Drilling Finds 7.47 g/t Gold over 30 Meters

Company Announcement
Monday, March 22, 2021

VANCOUVER, British Columbia, Canada -- Asante Gold Corp. (CSE:ASE, Frankfurt: 1A9, U.S. OTC:ASGOF) announces that assays have been received for the first hole of a three-hole geotechnical drill program at our Kubi Gold project in Ghana. 

DDHK21-001 was collared approximately 100 meters to the north of the Kubi Pit, near the middle of the 1Kubi Main Mineral Resource. On this section gold mineralization has been previously outlined to a depth of 450 meters. The gold is free milling and occurs within a near vertical 1-kilometer by 1-meter to 15-meter-thick shear-bounded "garnet" zone. 

Gold is associated with up to 30% garnet and 15% sulfide mineralization and as coarse gold in late quartz veins.

The drilling has confirmed typical Kubi Main Zone gold mineralization.

-- 30 meters grading 7.47 g/t gold (true width estimated at 7.5 meters), including:

-- 14.31 g/t over 10 meters.

-- 5.69 g/t over 9.0 meters.

-- 10.75 g/t over 16 meters.

Given the presence of visible gold and the numerous high assays received, samples have been resubmitted for screened metallics assays, which give more exact results when coarse gold is present. Further results will be announced as received. ...

... For the remainder of the announcement:

https://www.asantegold.com/news/cad-5-million-placement-oversubscribed-a...


Year-over-year comparisons will appear large for a host of economic indicators in coming months -- in the U.S. and, for that matter, elsewhere in the world -- after the pandemic and related business shutdowns curbed activity during the same periods in 2020. But arguably no data point is more in the spotlight on this front right now than inflation.

What is the base effect?

Inflation metrics are calculated on both a month-over-month and year-over-year basis. Economists and investors tend to look at the year-over-year figure, since there can be a lot of monthly volatility. But what happens when the month you're harking back to coincides with the onset of a global pandemic? 

That's where the base effect comes into play. Price indexes fell in March and April and stayed low in May amid lockdowns and widespread business closures. And while prices soon began picking up, the year-over-year increases for March-May will appear abnormally large as the upcoming figures are compared to the very low readings of last year. ...

... For the remainder of the report:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-12/simple-math-is-about-...

* * *

Toast to a free gold market
with great GATA-label wine

Wine carrying the label of the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee, cases of which were awarded to three lucky donors in GATA's recent fundraising campaign, are now available for purchase by the case from Fay J Winery LLC in Texarkana, Texas. Each case has 12 bottles and the cost is $240, which includes shipping via Federal Express.

Here's what the bottles look like:

http://www.gata.org/files/GATA-4-wine-bottles.jpg

Buyers can compose their case by choosing as many as four varietals from the list here:

http://www.gata.org/files/FayJWineryVarietals.jpg

GATA will receive a commission on each case of GATA-label wine sold. So if you like wine and buy it anyway, why not buy it in a way that supports our work to achieve free and transparent markets in the monetary metals?

To order a case of GATA-label wine, please e-mail Fay J Winery at bagman1236@aol.com.

* * *

Support GATA by purchasing
Stuart Englert's "Rigged"

"Rigged" is a concise explanation of government's currency market rigging policy and extensively credits GATA's work exposing it. Ten percent of sales proceeds are contributed to GATA. Buy a copy for $14.99 through Amazon --

https://tinyurl.com/3xt6uw66

-- or for an additional $3 and a penny buy an autographed copy from Englert himself by contacting him at srenglert@comcast.net.

* * *

Help keep GATA going:

GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at:

http://www.gata.org

To contribute to GATA, please visit:

http://www.gata.org/node/16